The impact of zero VAT on olive oil on inflation

Analysis of the reduction of living costs

Last July, inflation in Spain experienced a slight decrease, reaching 2.8%, according to the latest report from the National Institute of Statistics (INE). This decrease is partly due to the fall in food prices, which have shown a more stable behavior, with a reduction of 1.1 percentage points, consolidating at 3.1%.

The effect of the tax exemption

The recent application of zero VAT on olive oil has been a key factor in this downward trend. Although global prices have increased by 3.7% since January, the liter of olive oil has experienced a drop of 5.5% compared to June, according to data from the INE.

Cumulative inflation of the last 12 months

Despite this reduction, olive oil has suffered a price increase of 38.5% in the last year, with peaks approaching 70% at different times.

Other foods on the rise

In July, several products such as potatoes and chocolate have seen an increase in their prices. Potatoes, in particular, have risen by 1.8%, due to a bad harvest in France, which directly affects Spanish imports.

The impact of the El Niño phenomenon

Chocolate and cocoa have also experienced significant increases, with rises of 13.7% and 9.4% respectively, attributed to the adverse weather conditions caused by the El Niño phenomenon that have affected harvests globally.

Trends in core inflation

Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, showed a slight decrease to 2.8%. Although the CPI shows some stability, the cost of living compared to three years ago has increased by 15%, reflecting a complex reality.

Effects of summer on prices

The summer period has had a varied effect on prices. While electricity costs have fallen by 4.6%, clothing and footwear offerings have declined significantly, with reductions of more than 10% in many cases. However, tourist services have experienced an increase of 8%.

Inflation data in Catalonia

In Catalonia, inflation has fallen to 2.9%, a drop of seven tenths compared to June. The sectors that have increased their prices the most include hotels and restaurants, with an increase of 4.3%.

Final reflections on the economic context

The combination of factors such as VAT exemption and fluctuations in the harvest has created a complex economic picture. Economic authorities continue to closely monitor these trends to adapt their strategies and ensure the sustainability of citizens’ purchasing power.

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