Puigdemont’s uncertain future: possible scenarios for his return

The implications of his return to Spain

The return of Carles Puigdemont to Spain is a hot topic, especially with the threat of arrest hanging over him. Currently, the former Catalan president is under the shadow of an arrest warrant that judge Pablo Llarena has decided to keep active, especially after rejecting the amnesty for embezzlement related to the ‘process’.

Legal options to consider

As his potential comeback nears, Puigdemont has several legal avenues he could explore. One of them would be to present an appeal before the Constitutional Court to try to suspend his detention before he arrives in Spanish territory. His lawyer, Gonzalo Boye, has expressed that the arrest would be contrary to the Amnesty Law.

Open letter and political expectations

Recently, Puigdemont made an appeal through an open letter, expressing his desire to return to participate in the investiture of the new Parliament. In this context, he acknowledged that his arrest was an imminent possibility, a fact that has generated a climate of uncertainty among his followers.

Possible judicial scenarios

If Puigdemont decides not to file an appeal, he could be arrested upon his arrival in Spain. His defense could also raise a ‘habeas corpus’ if they consider his detention to be illegal. Once arrested, Judge Llarena would have the responsibility to interrogate him and determine if there are sufficient reasons to keep him in provisional prison, taking into account the risk of escape.

Pressures of the prosecution

The seriousness of the embezzlement charges, which could lead to up to 12 years in prison, adds considerable pressure to the case. Vox, as a popular accusation, has already announced its intention to request the immediate entry of Puigdemont into prison.

Other legal issues at play

In addition to the cause of the ‘process’, Puigdemont faces other investigations. A Barcelona judge has asked the Supreme Court to investigate his alleged connections with Russia to gain support for the pro-independence movement. In addition, he has also been charged with an alleged crime of terrorism related to the ‘Democratic Tsunami’ platform, although this case was recently filed.

An uncertain future

Puigdemont’s legal situation remains a maze of possibilities and uncertainties. With the elections on the horizon and his political aspirations at stake, his return to Spain is presented as a decisive moment that could mark a before and after in his political career and in the Catalan political landscape.

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