Divergences in weather forecasts
The world of meteorology is immersed in an interesting debate between the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and the well-known meteorologist Jorge Rey. While AEMET adheres to contemporary methodologies, Rey prefers a more traditional approach. This divergence has generated very different expectations about the weather conditions expected for the coming months.
Contemporary methods vs. ancestral techniques
AEMET uses advanced technology to track and analyze data from a variety of sources, including satellites and weather stations. Through this methodology, they offer clear and structured predictions, focused on the short and medium term. In contrast, Jorge Rey uses older observational practices, such as nightingales, and studies animal behavior, relying on his intuition and experience accumulated over the years.
Opposite views for the autumn season
As we approach the end of summer, the voices of Rey and AEMET resonate in contrast. Rey has expressed his concern at the possibility of storms and unfavorable weather conditions from the month of August, a forecast that opposes the forecasts of heat and drought offered by the AEMET. According to the agency, there is a 60 to 70 percent chance of above-normal temperatures during the August, September, and October quarter.
Expectations for the coming months
AEMET, with an optimistic view, points to an imminent drought with a 40 to 50% probability that the climate will be drier, against a scant 20 to 25% probability of rain. So Jorge Rey’s hopes for cooler, wetter weather may be dashed.
Preparation is key
With these contradictory prognoses, the population must remain vigilant. Authorities recommend following reliable source directions and taking necessary precautions, especially in areas susceptible to unexpected changes in weather. Uncertainty about which of the two forecasts is correct will remain until environmental conditions indicate.
Reflections on the future of the climate
Over time, the climate will overwhelm the theories and methods that each expert uses. Only the meteorological reality will reveal to us who is closer to the truth. The discussion between science and tradition will intensify, while the population waits patiently on the way to an autumn that promises surprises.
