The Return of Carles Puigdemont
This summer a hot political scene is expected in Catalonia, especially if Carles Puigdemont keeps his promise to return to the region during the investiture plenary session of the new president of the Generalitat. Both Puigdemont and Junts per Catalunya have reiterated their intention for the former president to return, regardless of whether he is the candidate for the investiture or not, despite the arrest warrant against him issued by Judge Pablo Llarena. However, all this remains speculative until the president of the Parliament, Josep Rull, calls the aforementioned investiture plenary session, since the maximum deadline to elect the president of the Generalitat is August 26. Otherwise, new elections will be held in October, which would delay the return of Carles Puigdemont.
Challenges for ERC, PSC and PSOE
Dilemma of the Republican Left
If it is confirmed that Puigdemont will return in the event of an investiture, ERC, the PSC and the PSOE will face significant challenges. Esquerra Republicana is immersed in an internal struggle for power, with followers of Junqueras and Marta Rovira competing for control of the party. In addition, ERC must decide whether to hand over the government of the Generalitat to the PSC of Salvador Illa, which requires significant concessions in terms of financing for Catalonia.
Negotiations between ERC and PSC
Negotiations between ERC and the PSC are advancing, but Republicans are seeking solid guarantees on financing and compliance with the agreements. For its part, the PSC needs a real commitment in this regard from Pedro Sánchez, which complicates the situation given the dissatisfaction of the militancy with the party’s recent management.
The Return of Puigdemont and its Implications
The return of Carles Puigdemont poses additional challenges, as his return could generate internal conflicts in ERC and affect relations between Junts per Catalunya and the PSOE. Furthermore, his legal situation, with an arrest warrant against him, raises uncertainties about how his return to Catalonia could be carried out.
Future Scenarios
In the event of an agreement between ERC and the PSC, and the convening of the investiture plenary session this summer, the political scenario would become even more complex and uncertain. The possible return of Puigdemont and the legal and political implications associated with his return add layers of uncertainty to the current situation.
Challenges and Potential Conflicts
Puigdemont’s return could trigger significant conflicts, both politically and socially, which could affect relations between the parties and the government in the region. Furthermore, the possibility of clashes during his return raises additional concerns about stability and security in Catalonia.
