Inici » Germany’s political future: a post-election complex scenario

Germany’s political future: a post-election complex scenario

by PREMIUM.CAT
Una escena política ambientada en un gran e histórico edificio parlamentario alemán, con columnas altas y decoraciones ornamentadas. En primer plano, un grupo de diversos políticos se encuentra en un semicírculo, en una discusión profunda. El líder de la CDU/CSU, Friedrich Merz, un hombre de mediana edad con cabello corto y oscuro y con un traje de marina a medida, gestos apasionadamente mientras habla, su expresión seria pero decidida. A su lado, Alice Weidel, la líder de la AFD, una mujer de unos 40 años con cabello rubio, vestido con un inteligente blazer negro, escucha con atención, sus brazos cruzados. En el fondo, una gran pantalla digital muestra los resultados de las elecciones, con las palabras 'CDU/CSU 28.5%' y 'Afd 20.8%' parpadeando brillantemente en rojo y verde. La atmósfera es tensa, lo que refleja la incertidumbre de las negociaciones de la coalición, ya que los periodistas con cámaras y micrófonos se reúnen, capturando el momento. Las banderas de Alemania y varios partidos políticos cuelgan d

An unexpected turn in German politics

In December 2024 he will mark a before and after in German politics, with the loss of the Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s confidence motion, which happened only one month after the collapse of his coalition. This alliance, known as the ‘traffic light coalition’, was composed of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and the Greens (Bündis 90/Die Grünen). The ideological tensions between Chancellor and Christian Lindner, FDP leader, were unsustainable.

Early elections and a new scenario

The federal elections have advanced six months, with a context marked by controversial events, such as Elon Musk’s support for the alternative far -right by Germany (AFD). At a historical moment, the number of chancellor candidates has reached eight, and the election participation has been the highest since 1990, with 84% voters.

The operation of the German electoral system

The German electoral system, similar to other parliamentary countries, allows voters to cast two votes: one for a local candidate and one for a federal party. This structure implies that the chancellor’s investiture depends on the Bundestag deputies, not a direct vote for the figure of the chief executive.

The CDU/CSU and the question of coalition

With 28.5% of the vote, the CDU/CSU has been proclaimed the winner of the election, but the lack of an absolute majority forces its leader, Friedrich Merz, to seek alliances. Coalition options are complicated as the AFD far -right party has won 20.8% of the vote, but most parties have refused to collaborate with them.

The Difficulties of the CDU/CSU

The CDU/CSU needs allies, but the FDP has not won the Bundestag seat. At the same time, collaboration with the Greens and the SPD, which has won 16.4% of the vote, would involve long negotiations. Divergences on key issues such as immigration will complicate dialogues, as the CDU has adopted more extreme positions.

The impact of the AfD and the future of democracy

The AFD’s rise, led by Alice Weidel, has generated concern. His strategy includes taking advantage of his identity to counteract criticism, and Merz’s promise of not forming a coalition with them will be tested. His proposal to work with AFD has caused outrage, including negative reactions between CDU voters.

Social Democrats in a weak position

The SPD drops leaves them without options to form a center -left coalition. With the Greens and Die Linke, who have increased their representation, the situation of the Social Democrats is precarious. If Merz maintains his promise not to collaborate with the AfD, the way to a new coalition will be long and full of uncertainties.

The gaze to the future

The German political situation is at a crossroads. Merz’s ability to form a stable government will depend on his ability to navigate a sea of ​​divergences and promises. German society will carefully observe whether the goal will be maintained to avoid an alliance with the far right, as the future of German democracy could be at stake.

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