A change in Europe
Polls predict a significant increase in ultranationalist parties in the European elections on June 9. This increase is especially expected in countries such as France, Italy, Austria and the Netherlands. Furthermore, conservative parties are willing to form alliances with these extremist groups. This marks a major shift in Europe, as attempts have been made for decades to keep extremist forces out of the government. However, the cordon sanitaire that had been established to prevent its rise has been relegated. Now, populist and nationalist parties are gaining ground across the continent.
Consolidation of the extreme right in the government
Currently, five countries in the European Union have far-right parties in government. These countries are Italy, Finland, Slovakia, Hungary and the Czech Republic. Even in Sweden, the survival of the executive depends on a confidence agreement with the Sweden Democrats, which is the second-largest force in parliament. In the Netherlands, far-right party leader Geert Wilders is close to power after striking a historic deal to form a more right-wing government. These examples show how ultra-nationalist parties are consolidating their position in Europe.
Dominance of the extreme right in the polls
The far right is also dominating polls in several countries. In France, the National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, has more than 30% support, far ahead of President Emmanuel Macron’s party. In Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is second in the polls, despite being under police surveillance for its extremist views. These parties are gaining ground and threaten to change the political landscape of Europe.
Impact of a right-wing victory in the European elections
The possible victory of the right in the European elections could have a significant impact on the eurozone. This is of particular concern to the main political groups, such as the European People’s Party. Although polls indicate that the current leader, Ursula von der Leyen, will win the election, a rise of the radical right would have important implications for the future of the European Union. This could affect the Green Deal and diplomatic relations with Ukraine, which in turn could have an impact on the value of the euro.
Causes of the rise of the extreme right
The rise of the far right is partly due to a worsening quality of life and the war in Ukraine. Rising prices, migration and discontent among farmers have contributed to the vote shift towards populist groups. Furthermore, European elections are often perceived as second-rate in many countries, leading to a punishing or more thuggish vote. This may exacerbate the trend towards the far right.
