A fallback strategy
The Government’s recent decision to abandon the vote on the deficit ceiling reveals a retrenchment strategy that seeks to avoid another political failure. After Junts’ rejection of the previous proposal, the PSOE prefers to avoid another defeat that could be attributed to the figure of Puigdemont.
An uncertain scenario for future budgets
According to La Vanguardia sources, the Minister of Finance, María Jesús Montero, is not prepared to face a new vote that could turn out to be unfavorable. The current situation could anticipate the absence of new budgets, a scenario that would further complicate the economic management of the country.
The dynamics of negotiation
The Government seeks to expand its room for maneuver to negotiate with other political formations. However, the real focus is on Junts, as the PP has made it clear that it will not support either the deficit ceiling or future budgets.
The Government’s budgetary flexibility
As long as the previous spending ceiling is not exceeded, the Government can choose to extend the current budgets indefinitely. This allows the Government to make adjustments in the budget items according to its needs, as pointed out by the Minister of Transport, Óscar Puente.
A question of power
This situation is not reduced to a simple technical problem, but reflects a power struggle between the parties. The weakness of the Government in Congress is increasingly evident, and groups like Junts take advantage of this circumstance to reaffirm their position.
Junts’ influence on the political scene
Recently, Junts has demonstrated its ability to influence the decisions of the Government, as was evidenced by the rejection of the limitation of rents. The imminent regularization of migrants presents a new opportunity for Junts to exert pressure on the Government, maintaining a maximalist strategy.
Future perspectives
Meanwhile, political instability will continue to be a determining factor in Spanish politics. The processist dynamic that has taken hold in Madrid portends an uncertain future, with a Government that may find itself increasingly isolated in the face of internal differences between parties.
Final reflections
The current political situation is a reflection of fragile governance, where alliances are built and broken with ease. The lack of unity and the pressure of actors like Junts could mark the course of the Government in the coming months, leaving its stability hanging by a thread.
