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Forecast for the Catalan and European Parliament Elections

by PREMIUM.CAT

Elections to the Catalan and European Parliament

The upcoming elections to the Parliament of Catalonia, which will take place on Sunday 12 May, and the European elections on 9 June, are topics of current interest. The parties have already presented their candidates, including Dolors Montserrat for the PP, Minister Teresa Ribera for the PSOE, Diana Riba for ERC and Toni Comín for Junts per Catalunya.

Campaign and Negotiations

The campaign for the European elections will coincide with the negotiations for the elections to the Parliament of Catalonia. In addition, there is talk of a possible return of President Puigdemont to Catalonia, a fact that could polarize the situation.

Forecast of the Surveys

According to a survey by SocioMétrica for El Español, the PP, led by Montserrat, would obtain 39.2% of the support, clearly beating the PSOE. This would translate into 26 MEPs. The popular Spaniards, together with the far-right Spanish party of Vox, would reach 49.5% of the supporters, approaching the absolute majority with deputies.

On the other hand, the PSOE would get only 18 deputies (26.7% of the supports) and would lower its supports in 3 seats. The division of the left would not have consequences for Sumar and Podemos, who together would have 6 MEPs, the same number predicted by the survey.

Results in Catalonia, Euskadi, Galicia and the Balearic Islands

In these regions, the coalition of ERC, BNG, Bildu and MÉS would obtain 3 MEPs, maintaining the same representation as in the previous elections. On the other hand, Junts, with Toni Comín at the head, would drop from the current 3 MEPs to a single MEP. The coalition between PNB, Coalició Canària and Geroa Bai would not obtain representation, despite the fact that historically they had obtained at least one MEP.

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